RESEARCH BASE
Search 3,721 documents across 34 fields — every claim tier-rated by evidence
3,633 are the core, quality-scored corpus (34 lettered sections — see How We Work); the remaining 88 are cross-corpus synthesis documents (68 InterDocs, 12 Connections, 8 Theories) also indexed here.
257 results for "base rate neglect" — page 8 of 13
ZB_3_08 — Freshwater Ecology
Freshwater ecosystems — rivers, streams, lakes, ponds, wetlands, and groundwater systems — cover only ~0.8% of Earth's surface and contain ~0.01% of the world's water, yet they support a disproportionate ~6% of all descr
G_4_01 — Modern Conspiracy Analysis
The modern reptilian conspiracy theory did not emerge from ancient tradition — it was manufactured through a specific chain of publications mixing fiction, theosophy, and selective ancient citation. Robert E. Howard's 19
G_3_14 — Simulation Argument — Philosophy, Physics, and Testability
The Simulation Argument — formally presented by philosopher Nick Bostrom (2003, Philosophical Quarterly) — is not the claim that we live in a computer simulation, but rather a trilemma: at least one of the following thre
G_2_04 — Complexity Economics and Ancient Trade Systems
Complexity economics — the application of complex systems theory, non-linear dynamics, and agent-based modeling to economic phenomena — provides a powerful modern framework for understanding ancient and premodern trade s
G_2_18 — Digital Humanities and Computational Text Analysis
Digital humanities (DH) encompasses the application of computational methods — text mining, natural language processing (NLP), statistical analysis, data visualization, geographic information systems (GIS), network analy
G_2_01 — Network Science and Complex Systems Applied to Ancient Trade
Network science—the mathematical study of complex interconnected systems—has emerged as a powerful tool for understanding ancient trade, cultural transmission, and civilizational collapse. By modeling ancient trade route
O_2_05 — Tektites and Meteorite Impact Glass
Tektites are natural glassy objects formed when hypervelocity meteorite impacts melt and eject terrestrial target rock, which solidifies during flight through the atmosphere and lands hundreds to thousands of kilometers
O_2_08 — Weathering, Erosion, and Deep Time Landscape Evolution
Weathering (the in-situ breakdown of rock and minerals) and erosion (the transport of weathered material by water, wind, ice, and gravity) are the fundamental surface processes that, operating over deep time (millions to
O_4_01 — Anomalous Zones: Skinwalker Ranch, Bermuda Triangle & Window Areas
"Anomalous zones" — geographic areas with allegedly high concentrations of unexplained phenomena — range from the verified-as-government-studied (Skinwalker Ranch/AAWSAP) to the largely debunked (Bermuda Triangle). Skinw
O_4_02 — Bermuda Triangle & Devil's Sea — Evidence & Explanations
The Bermuda Triangle — a roughly defined area between Miami, Bermuda, and Puerto Rico — became one of the 20th century's most enduring mysteries after a series of popularizations in the 1960s–1970s attributed an unusual
O_4_04 — Ringing Rocks, Musical Stones & Lithophones
Ringing rocks — stones that produce clear, bell-like tones when struck — have been documented at multiple locations worldwide, formed from rock types with specific mineralogical and structural properties that support mec
O_3_01 — Biodiversity, Ecosystem Intelligence, and the Superorganism
Earth harbors an estimated 8.7 million eukaryotic species (Mora et al. 2011), of which only ~1.5-1.8 million have been formally described — meaning roughly 80% of species remain unknown to science. When prokaryotes (bact
O_3_09 — Lake Anomalies and Limnic Eruptions
Limnic eruptions (also called "lake overturns") are rare but catastrophic events in which dissolved carbon dioxide (CO₂) erupts suddenly from deep lake water, forming a dense gas cloud that displaces oxygen and can asphy
O_5_01 — Permafrost, Cryosphere, and Frozen Time Capsules
Permafrost — permanently frozen ground covering approximately 25% of the Northern Hemisphere's land surface — is simultaneously a geological archive, a biological deep freeze, and a ticking carbon time bomb. Ice cores ex
T_4_14 — Social Comparison Theory: Festinger, Upward/Downward Comparison, and Social Media
Social comparison theory, introduced by Leon Festinger (1954), proposes that humans have a fundamental drive to evaluate their abilities and opinions — and in the absence of objective, non-social standards, they do so by
T_2_03 — Attachment Theory — Bowlby, Ainsworth & Social Bonds
Attachment theory, developed by John Bowlby (1958, 1969) and empirically validated by Mary Ainsworth (1978), proposes that humans are biologically predisposed to form close emotional bonds with caregivers — and that the
T_2_08 — Neuropsychology and Brain Damage
Neuropsychology studies the relationship between brain structure/function and behavior — using patterns of cognitive impairment following brain damage to infer how the intact brain organizes mental processes.
T_2_19 — Eating Disorders
Eating disorders (EDs) — including anorexia nervosa (AN), bulimia nervosa (BN), binge eating disorder (BED), and avoidant/restrictive food intake disorder (ARFID) — affect an estimated 9% of the global population over th
T_2_05 — Clinical Psychology: History and Foundations
Clinical psychology — the assessment, diagnosis, and treatment of mental disorders — evolved from ancient supernatural explanations of madness through institutional reform, the psychoanalytic revolution, behavioral and c
T_5_01 — Sports Psychology and Performance
Sports psychology investigates the psychological factors that influence athletic performance, exercise behavior, and physical activity — applying principles from cognitive, social, and clinical psychology to optimize hum
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